2020 NFL Draft – Round 1

On Thursday, the 2020 Draft will be presented across ABC, ESPN, and NFL Network, April 23-25.

NFL Draft

Round 2 and 3 — Friday, April 24 (7-11:30 p.m.)

Round 4, 5, 6, and 7 — Saturday, April 25 (12-7 p.m.)


The NFL Draft Selections for the First Round:

The MS 2020 NFL “Pick-Em” Contest proved to be a winner. 

Ever though the NFL.com site and layout is utter crap…I think that it is fair to say that we all had a good go at it.

Congratulations to Norie for winning and taking First place.

2020 NFL Draft-A-Thon – Muddledstate Group

So we have made it…the NFL Draft will (should) happen this week.  With 2020 being a brutal and crap year so far, this NFL off-season has helped get us through it all.  So Congratulations on making it this far…

Up this week, we have the NFL 2020 Draft-A-Thon…which is nice.

On Thursday, the 2020 Draft will be presented across

ABC, ESPN, and NFL Network, April 23-25.

NFL Draft Schedule (April 23-25):

Round 1Thursday, April 23 (8-11:30 p.m. ET)

Round 2 and 3Friday, April 24 (7-11:30 p.m.)

Round 4, 5, 6, and 7 Saturday, April 25 (12-7 p.m.)

JoeOG reminded us about doing the NFL.com – Predict the Prick 2020, and one has been set up.   😉

Group Name: MuddledState 2020

Password: thatsracist

Link:  https://predictpick.nfl.com/

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2020 MS Mock 1st round – Rudx Post FA

2020 MS Mock Draft: 1st Round POST FREE AGENCY

MOCK is Complete. Thank you for being involved and supporting this.

     Many have asked for it, so lets do it.

We will redo our Round 1 Mock now that the NFL Free Agency has started and teams are signing every LB and Slot CB.  This time around, I will try to align rep’s with their teams as best as possible, but it will not align perfectly as some will miss out.  Also, feel free to call out any rep/team swaps, if you’d like.

NFL Draft Order // Player // Position // College

  1. WSH Redskins: Chase Young, EDGE, Ohio State (Jeremyave)
  2. DET Lions: Jeff Okudah, CB, Ohio State (Joeog)
  3. NYG Giants:  Isaiah Simmons, LB, Clemson (Rings) 
  4. MIA Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama (JMC)
  5. LAC Chargers: Jordan Love, QB, Utah St (Screwitz)
  6. CARPanthers: Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn (Jackhammer)  
  7. ARICardinals:  Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville (Norie)
  8. JAXJaguars:  Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina (Lafrentzj)
  9. CLEBrowns:  Jedrick Wills OT – Alabama (ljceeb) 
  10. NYJNYJets: Jerry Jeudy, WR, Bama (Poe)
  11. LVRaiders:  Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama (Balls) 
  12. SF 49ers: Ceedee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma (SDofLA) 
  13. TBBucs: Andrew Thomas, OT, XXX (Lord Panda)   
  14. DENBroncos: CJ Henderson, CB, Flordia (BC) 
  15. ATLFalcons: K’lavon Chaisson, EDGE, LSU (BH Mac) 
  16. DALCowboys: Xavier McKinney, S, Bama  (SDofLa) 
  17. MIADolphins: Justin Jefferson,WR, LSU (Lord Panda)
  18. LVRaiders: Jeff Gladney, CB, TCU (Whori) 
  19. JAXJaguars: Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa (BC)
  20. PHIEagles: Kenneth Murray LB Oklahoma (Jeremyave)
  21. MINVikings: Curtis Weaver, EDGE, Boise St (Cooch)
  22. NEPatriots: Tee Higgins WR Clemson (Lafrentzj)
  23. NOSaints:  Justin Herbert, Oregon (BH Mac)
  24. MINVikings: Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU (Screwitz)
  25. MIADolphins: Grant Delpit, S, LSU (Rings)
  26. SEASeahawks:  Yetur Gross-Matos, Edge, Penn State (ljceeb)
  27. BALRavens: Patrick Queen – LB – LSU  (Jackhammer)
  28. TENTitans: WR KJ Hamler, Penn State (Balls)
  29. GBPackers: Austin Jackson, OL, USC (Joeyog)
  30. SF49ers:  Denzel Mims, WR Baylor (JMC) 
  31. KCChiefs: AJ Terrell, CB, Clemson  (Poe)

Great Job to everyone involved

Again, when its your turn call out the player selected and let us know if you cannot be around.  Example:  Name, Position, College

THE MOCK IS OVER

2020 MS Mock Draft: 2nd Round

2020 MS Mock Draft: 2nd Round 

WELL DONE

Rules for the Mock:

  1. THIS STARTS ON MONDAY 3/16
  2. The Team MS Rep. will have a little time to prepare, review and select the player she wants for the NFL Team.
  3. MS Rep…better pay attention to who was already picked in the 1st.
  4. The Team MS Rep. will need to “announce” his selection for the NFL Team he is selecting for.  This locks it in for others to realize.
  5. The Team MS Rep. can select whomever they they believe would be best for the team.
  6. A mod will go in and add the selection.
    • Example: Seahawks: OG Pickler, Kansas State (Balls)
  7. If we do not see the MS rep. around after 1/2 day…a Mod can shuffle the names to keep things moving. You might lose your turn too.
  8. This project will need the Team MS Rep. + Announcement of selection + Mod involvement for this bitch to keep moving.
  9. Play it real.

The MS NFL Team Rep can make the selection and a mod can feature it…until another mod has time to add it.  IF a mod isn’t around and a few selections have been made…just try to keep the selections up top for a Mod to add.

NFL Draft Order // Player // Position // College:    2nd Round

  1. CINCI: Jalen Reagor, WR, TCU(Lafrentzj)
  2. IND: Jacob Eason, QB, Washington, (JoeyOG)
  3. DET: D’Andre Swift, RB, Georgia (Poe)
  4. NYG: Zach Baun, EDGE, Wisconsin (Screwitz)
  5. LAC: Josh Jones, OT, Houston (ljceeb)
  6. CAR: Ross Blacklock, DT, TCU (BH Mac)
  7. MIA:  Grant Delpit, S, LSU (Cooch)
  8. ARI: AJ Epenesa, DE, Iowa (BH Mac)
  9. CLEV: Antoine Winfield Jr, S, Minnesota (BC) 
  10. JAC: Bradlee Anae, Edge, Utah (SDofLA)
  11. CHI (via oak): Tyler Badiaz, OG, Wisconsin (Lord Panda)
  12. SF: Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor (Nori) 
  13. TB: Cam Akers, RB, Florida State (Germyave)
  14. DEN: Jake Fromm, QB, Georgia (JMC)
  15. ATL:  Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE, Penn St (lafrentzj)
  16. NYJ: Lloyd Cushenberry III, OG, LSU (JackHammer)
  17. PITT: AJ Terrell, CB, Clemson (Balls)
  18. CHI: Bryce Hall, CB, Virginia (Ljceeb)
  19. DAL: (Lord Panda) Thaddues Moss, TE, LSU
  20. LAR: Cesar Ruiz, IOL, Michigan (Nori) 
  21. PHI: Curtis Weaver, EDGE, Boise State (Robb)
  22. BUF:  Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin (BC)
  23. ATL (via ne): Netane Muti, OG, Fresno State (Poe)
  24. MIA: (via no): Robert Hunt, OL, LSU (JoeyOG)
  25. HOU: Josh Uche, Edge, Michigan (SDofLA)
  26. MINN: Brandon Aiyuk, WR, AZ State (Screwitz)
  27. SEA: Jason Strowbridge, EDGE, UNC(Rings) 
  28. BALT: Chase Claypool, WR, Notre Dame (Germyave)
  29. TENN: Ezra Cleveland, OT, Boise State (JackHammer)
  30. GB: KJ Hamler, WR, Penn St (JMC) 
  31. KC (via sf): Raekwon Davis, DT, Alabama (Balls)
  32. SEA (via kc): Damien Lewis, OG LSU (Lord Panda)

THE MOCK IS COMPLETE

WELL DONE

Great job everyone, Round 2 is completed and we will look to do a Round 3 starting next week.

Link to the Draft Network for player rankings/info

MS will have another 1st round Mock after FA and prior to the Draft (whenever that is. Thanks china/nba)

WELL DONE

Overview of the 2020 MS Mock Draft (March Edition)

Well we have completed our 1st Mock Draft (Good Job Robb) and we will now take a look at each pick for each team in the division. We are also going to look at the best, worse and best value picks. And as usual, Lord’s selections were absolutely genius. How is this guy not on some teams payroll!

Without further ado, shall we. 

LAC

6. Chargers: Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon (BC)

This is a pick that you could see happening a country mile away. The Chargers need a quarterback and Herbert fills that need. Herbert has all the tools to be a franchise quarterback. The Chargers will have options here because they have Tyrod Taylor whom they could start if they feel that Herbert is not quite ready. This is a good problem to have. With 3 of the top 4 Offensive Tackles still on the board, some will say they could have gone that way. Quarterbacks still drive this league.

Rankings:

Draft Network: 13th Overall (3rd Ranked QB)

CBS Sports: 20th Overall (4th Ranked QB)

NFL.com: 26th Overall (3rd Ranked QB)

ESPN: 19th Overall (3rd Ranked QB)

Avg. Overall Ranking – 19.5 (-13.5) Avg. QB Ranking – 3.25

LV

12. Raiders: Jeff Okudah, OSU, CB (Poe)

When you give up the 8th most passing yards per game something has to change. Enter Okudah. He is not only the #1 CB, he is a flat out monster at press man and zone coverage. This guy is a true shutdown corner. Having him on one side, Mullen on the other and Abram over the top, the Raiders will have one of the youngest but most talented secondaries in the league. 2 of the top 3 receivers were on the board but this guy is too good to pass on and secondary is a big need as well.

Rankings:

Draft Network: 3rd Overall (1st Ranked CB)

CBS Sports: 4th Overall (1st Ranked CB)

NFL.com: 2nd Overall (1st Ranked CB)

ESPN: 5th Overall (1st Ranked CB)

Avg. Overall Ranking – 3.5 (+8.5) / Avg. CB Ranking – 1.0

DEN

15. Broncos: Derrick Brown, IDL, Auburn (Balls)

Adding a Defensive Tackle of Brown’s talent at pick 15 should be a felony. This guy is a nightmare for guards and centers. He is a black hole for running games and he can push the pocket. He is scheme diverse with very heavy hands that are precise and he has a motor that never stops. He is also a very good penetrator for a man his size. The top 3 receivers are off the board so the Broncos get the best player available.

Rankings:

Draft Network: 6th Overall (1st Ranked IDL)

CBS Sports: 7th Overall (1st Ranked IDL)

NFL.com: 3rd Overall (1st Ranked IDL)

ESPN: 4th Overall (1st Ranked IDL)

Avg. Overall Ranking – 5.0 (+10) / Avg. IDL Ranking – 1.0

LV

19. Raiders: Laviska Shenault Jr, WR, Colorado (Jeremyave)

The Raiders need a true #1 receiver with speed. Shenault ran a 4.58, that is not speed. It was reported in February that he had inflammation in his pubic bone and needed rest prior to the Combine and would not need surgery. After running the 40, it came out that he needed surgery for a core injury that affected him last year at Colorado. Having core surgery before he plays a down in the league is not what you want from a #1 receiver and a 1st round draft pick. He is talented and reminds me of a bigger Percy Harvin but the injury history is too much to ignore. With the top two Linebackers on the board this pick makes no sense at all.

Rankings:

Draft Network: 30th Overall (4th Ranked WR)

CBS Sports: 33rd Overall (6th Ranked WR)

NFL.com: 17th Overall (4th Ranked WR)

ESPN: 36th Overall (9th Ranked WR)

Avg. Overall Ranking – 29 (-10) / Avg. WR Ranking – 5.75

KC

32. Chiefs: Noah Igbinoghene, CB, Auburn (Screwitz)

The Chiefs have a need at cornerback with Bashaud Breeland, Morris Claiborne and Kendall Fuller all unrestricted free agents. Igbinoghene has played CB for two years after switching over from the WR position. He is still raw and learning but has held his own in the SEC. He is a great kick returner and special teams player as well. He should be able to challenge for a starting position from day 1.

Rankings:

Draft Network: 43rd Overall (5th Ranked CB)

CBS Sports: 37th Overall (7th Ranked CB)

NFL.com: 64th Overall (9th Ranked CB)

ESPN: 39th Overall (4th Ranked CB)

Avg. Overall Ranking – 45.75 (-13.75) / Avg. CB Ranking – 6.25

Best Pick – Jeff Okudah (+8.5) This would be a gift for the Raiders
Worse Pick – Noah Igbinoghene (-13.75) NFL.com does not think much of him.
Best Value – Derrick Brown (+10) Talk about a steal, WOW!

/JMC the Old

I want to thank each of you for contributing to this first ever MS Mock in March.  We had a few regulars who were not around but all in all, everything worked out incredibly well.  I specifically enjoyed not having a time limit on people giving their selections.  This method also gave each of us insight into the other crap teams within the NFL too.  Well done each of you, and thank you JMC for this summary.  /Robb

2020 MS Mock Draft: 1st round

2020 MS Mock Draft: 1st Round 

THE MOCK IS ACTIVE

Guys, I think that I’ve figured out a way for us to do a mock draft and buy some time as we wait for future dates.

Rules for the Mock:

  1. THIS STARTS ON MONDAY 3/9
  2. Active MS people will be listed to any given NFL Team in the draft.
  3. The Team MS Rep. will have a little time to prepare, review and select the player she wants for the NFL Team.
  4. The Team MS Rep. will need to “announce” his selection for the NFL Team he is selecting for.  This locks it in for others to realize.
  5. The Team MS Rep. can select whomever they they believe would be best for the team.
  6. A mod will go in and add the selection.
    • Example: Seahawks: OG Pickler, Kansas State (Balls)
  7. If we do not see the MS rep. around after 1/2 day…a Mod can shuffle the names to keep things moving. You might lose your turn too.
  8. This project will need the Team MS Rep. + Announcement of selection + Mod involvement for this bitch to keep moving.
  9. Play it real.

The MS NFL Team Rep can make the selection and a mod can feature it…until another mod has time to add it.  IF a mod isnt around and a few selections have been made…just try to keep the selections up top for a Mod to add.

NFL Draft Order // Player // Position // College

  1. WSH Redskins: Chase Young, EDGE, OSU (Rings)
  2. DET Lions: Isaiah Simmons, LB, Clemson (SDofLa)
  3. NYG Giants: Jedrick Wills, OT, Alabama (Jeremyave)
  4. MIA Dolphins Tuna Tagovaiola, QB, Alabama (Nori)
  5. LAC Chargers: Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon (BC)
  6. CAR Panthers:  Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia (Lafrentzj)
  7. ARI Cardinals: Cee Dee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma (JoeyOG)
  8. JAX Jaguars: Javon Kinlaw, IDL, South Carolina (Jackhammer)
  9. CLE Browns: Mekhi Becton, Louisville, OT (Lord Panda)
  10. NYJ NYJets: Henry Ruggs III, Alabama, WR (ljceeb)
  11. LV Raiders:  Jeff Okudah, OSU, CB, (Poe) 
  12. IND Colts:  Jerry “Jeu” Jeudy, WR, Alabama (BH Mac)
  13. TB Bucs: Jordan Love, QB, Utah State (JMC)
  14. DEN Broncos:  Derrick Brown, IDL, Auburn (Balls)
  15. ATL Falcons: CJ Henderson, CB, Florida, (Choochie)
  16. DAL Cowboys:  Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama (Joeog)
  17. MIA Dolphins:  K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE, LSU (JMC)
  18. LV Raiders:  Laviska Shenault Jr, WR, Colorado (Jeremyave)
  19. JAX Jaguars: Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama (Jackhammer)
  20. PHIEagles: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU (BC)
  21. BUF Bills:  Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU (SDofLA)
  22. NE Patriots:  Cole Kmet, TE, Notre Dame (Rings)
  23. NO Saints: Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson, (Poe)
  24. MIN Vikings:  Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa (BH Mac)
  25. MIA Dolphins: Kenneth Murray, LB Oklahoma (ljceeb)
  26. SEA Seahawks:  Austin Jackson, OT, USC (Balls)
  27. BAL Ravens: Jordan Elliot, IDL, Missouri (Lafrentzj)
  28. TEN Titans:  Terrell Lewis, EDGE, Alabama (Lord Panda)
  29. GB Packers: Patrick Queen, LB, LSU (Norie)
  30. SF 49ers: Jeff Gladney, CB, TCU (Robb)
  31. KC Chiefs:  Noah Igbinoghene, CB, Auburn (Screwitz)

So with this…let the games begin.

If you are going to be gone, let someone know and we will shift names around.  And if you are not interest and you want to be a little bitch…then let Robb know.

THE MOCK IS ACTIVE

Link to the Draft Network for player rankings/info

FA starts soon, and the Draft is in April…so it sounds like everyone is interested to do this again early April.

2020 AFC West Cap Space and Free Agency

Well, the season is over (Fuck the Chiefs). It’s time to start gearing up for next year. We are going to take a look at each team’s cap space, their key free agents and a major signing they could/should go after.

CAP SPACE:

(Numbers according to OverTheCap.com.)

Denver Broncos $62,115,714 million (7th in the League}

Las Vegas Raiders $51,878,096 million (11th in the League)

Los Angeles Chargers $49,062,802 million (16th in the League)

Kansas City Chiefs $13,674,494 million (25th in the League)

The Broncos, Raiders and Chargers should all be buyers in this year’s free agency market. The Chiefs are somewhat cap strapped but could cut several players to free up space. This will be a very interesting free agency market and I expect a couple of big trades as well.

FREE AGENCY:

We will look at each team’s key free agents and a possible target acquisition.

Denver Broncos

Justin Simmons, Shelby Harris, Connor McGovern

Simmons was one of the best safeties in the league last year and was a monster in Fangio’s defensive scheme. The Broncos have a whopping four contracts expiring along the defensive line, and of those, Shelby Harris‘ should clearly be the top priority. McGovern played every offensive snap of 2019 for the Broncos, didn’t draw a single penalty flag.

Target Acquisition: WR Robby Anderson – The Broncos have a true #1 receiver in Sutton but need a speed receiver to complete Pat Shurmur’s offense. Anderson would be a perfect fit and allow the Broncos to focus on their other needs in the draft.

Las Vegas Raiders

Daryl Worley, Dion Jordan, Benson Mayowa

Worley bounced around the secondary during the season because of injuries, but is a starting-caliber corner. Jordan played the final six games of the year and had two sacks and was coming on strong. Mayowa only played 28.93% of the defensive snaps and was second on the team with 7 sacks.

Target Acquisition: ILB Cory Littleton – The Raiders have not had a play-making middle linebacker that can cover since Kirk Morrison. This guy can do it all and is exactly what they need.

Los Angeles Chargers

Melvin Gordon, Hunter Henry, Derek Watt

No need to mention Rivers as he is already gone. Melvin Gordon held out and is good as gone especially with Austin Ekeler in the fold. Henry is a match-up nightmare even with his injury history, should be resigned. Watt is my favorite and is a flat-out monster.

Target Acquisition: OT Jack Conklin – The Chargers have to fix their offensive line so why not sign a plug and play starter via free agency.

Kansas City Chiefs

Emmanuel Ogbah, Chris Jones, Stefen Wisniewski

Before suffering a season-ending torn pectoral muscle, Ogbah was playing lights out. Wisniewski was signed late and came in a took the starting left guard position. Chris Jones is a flat out beast and will cost 18-20 million a year to resign.

Target Acquisition: CB Byron Jones – The Chiefs need to fix the corner back position with three of theirs becoming free agents. Jones would be a great fit if they can find the money.

This should be one of the more interesting off seasons we have had in some time. I hope my Raiders hit it out of the park and the rest of you shit the bed.

Good luck and of course……………FO!

JMC

AFCW Early Offseason Outlook

First off, congrats to the 2 Chiefs fans on their long-awaited SB run. I’m sure they’re as shocked as we are that Fat Andy didn’t choke again. All those years of Andy Reid being a shitty father raising 2 deadbeat sons, finally paid off. Also, fuck you.

As we move on to the offseason, the theme for the other 3 losers is simple, yet not so simple: “How the fuck do we catch the Chiefs?” A lot is about to take place from now thru August, when training camp starts, so buckle up because this already has the makings of an all-time AFCW offseason.

A few key offseason dates:

Feb. 24 – Mar. 2nd: NFL Combine

Feb. 25 – Mar. 10th: Teams can designate Franchise or Transition players.

Mar. 16th: Clubs may enter negotiations with free agents. AKA legal tampering period.

Mar. 18th: The 2020 league year and FA begins at 1pm EST.

Apr. 23 – 25th: 2020 NFL Draft

Apr. 27th: Teams may tryout, sign current XFL players.

Who gives a fuck about the rest.

Early AFCW Headlines:

Chargers moving on from Rivers – The Chargers and Rivers have mutually agreed to part ways. Sounds like an old love story, “it’s not you, it’s me.” Either way, this creates a HUGE hole at the single most important position for LAC. Tank for Sunshine 2020?

Raiders are expected to show interest in Tom Brady – Another offseason, another media driven QB controversy for the Raiders. I’d say it’s 80/20 that Carr is the week 1 starter for the LV opener.

Not much else going on other than the Broncos need to figure out their ownership structure, but who really GAF about that, and hopefully the Chiefs are hungover all offseason.

That’s it for now. We’ll get more of an in depth look at each team’s needs and targets via FA and draft closer to those dates, along with some mock drafts to pass the time. Plus, I’m sure we can all agree that we’re sick of looking at the fucking Chiefs SB article, minus the hot chick of course. Moving on…

And good luck this offseason, other than our 2 Chiefs fans, we fucking need it.

Yours Truly,

Whori

Super Bowl LIV Chiefs vs. 49ers:

They finally did it!   I’ve been a fan of the Chiefs since I started caring about football (early 90’s) and this has been a long time coming.  After a couple of home playoff wins where the old demons seemed to be back only to be vanquished by Mahomes and crew the Chiefs are in the Super Bowl.

If you put fan loyalties aside I think this is one of the best matchups football fans could of asked for.  Both teams have been excellent most of the year and both teams have exciting big play potential.  The Chiefs big plays tend to come on offense where the 49ers defense is usually the ones making big plays.  This game should be a battle and I expect a close high scoring affair.  Look for a key turnover or two to determine the out come.

There are many good story lines for this game.  From Dee Ford, to the new young QBs and even to Andy Reid with another opportunity to cement his claim as one of the all time greats.  I’m not going to get into all of them here.  What follows will be what I see as the keys to the game for each team and a game prediction.

49ers Key to the Game: Run the damn ball. I think we will see the 49ers try to keep up what has been working and that is run the ball.  If they can keep their offense on the field and run through KC like they did the Packers then that’s exactly what they will do.  While the 49ers are better equipped to do some damage through the air than the Titans were the Chiefs defensive strength has been in defending the pass.

On the defensive side the 49ers have to pressure Mahomes (with 4) while containing him inside the pocket.  Don’t give him an escape route and don’t give him too much time to have receivers get open.  There is tons of speed on the 49ers defense and this will be the biggest challenge Mahomes has faced all year.

Chiefs Keys to the Game:  The offensive line needs to hold up against a nasty front 7.  Give Mahomes the time he needs to survey the field and give the receivers the time to find the soft spot in the zone coverage.  49ers play mostly zone and they are very good at it.  Mahomes is also very good passing against zone coverage, strength vs. strength.  I also think screens will be a big part of this game to slow down the 49ers aggressiveness.    

On defense the Chiefs must first prove yet again they can slow down or stop the run.   They need to play as a team to fill the holes in the run game and seal the outside edge. Their goal should be to get to 3rd and 5+ and make Jimmy G beat you. This season the Chiefs have been very good at defending the pass when the can pin their ears back and rush the passer.


It’s a very similar breakdown of the Titans game and that is because I view the Niners as a much better version of the Titans.

Both these teams have tons and tons of talent and this Niners team will be the toughest challenge the Chiefs have faced.  While only 1 point I was personally surprised the Chiefs were the favored team.

In the end I see Mahomes continuing what has been a historically good playoffs.  I see the Chiefs defense stepping up again against the run and forcing more passes than the 49ers would ideally like and I see Jimmy G throwing a key pick.   I can’t wait for this game, this season has been amazing and the Chiefs are one win from their ultimate goal.

Chiefs win: 34-31

AFC Championship Game Take Two

Here we are again.  The Chiefs are one win away from the super bowl, they are at home and coming off a big win in the divisional round.

The big names have been knocked out.  Brady gone.  Lamar gone.  What is left are the Tennessee Titans and Derrick Henry who very well could be the scariest football player in these playoffs.   Teams know the running game is coming and have been completely incapable of stopping it.  Both the Ravens and Patriots had top run defenses this season and both got completely run over.   The Chiefs do not have a top run defense and by many metrics is toward the bottom of the league.  Derrick Henry will get his in this game.

On the other side you have the high flying Chiefs who just scored 51 points in less than 3 full quarters erasing a 24-0 1st quarter hole.  In Kansas City they prefer to keep the ball in the MVP’s hand throwing to their playmakers.  There isn’t much interest in running the ball until the end of the game.  These two teams at least offensively are complete opposites.  Like Henry Mahomes and crew will get theirs.

Titans keys to the game:  Do not fall behind early in this one.   If the Titans find themselves down 14-0 in the early going it will take them out of their game plan and force Tannehill to sling it around the field.  Tannehill has been great this season but he isn’t asked to do too much.  He hasn’t even thrown over 100 yards in either playoff win.   The Titans run game opens up the passing game but if they find themselves in an early hole and their passing game becomes more predictable I think you will see a Tannehill closer to what made him a backup at the start of the year.  Titans need to keep on riding Henry with some play action mixed in for some big plays. As long as this game is close the Titans can keep feeding Henry all day long allowing him to wear out the Chiefs defense.

Chiefs keys to the game:  Tackling and finishing off those tackles will be HUGE.  If someone gets their hands on Henry they need to get him on the turf, he has done tons of damage after first contact. They don’t have to stop Henry but they must slow him down and force Tannehill to pick up more first downs rather than letting them just run for them all day long.  This game is all about the Chiefs defense, Mahomes and crew will score but how many chances they have will be determined by how many stops the Defense will be able to come up with.

Both these teams are hot right now.  Chiefs have won 7 in a row, the Titans have been taking down division winners left and right.   Chiefs want to come out fast and get the early lead.  The Titans want to slow the game down and limit the Chiefs offensive possessions.  Neither team can afford early mental errors or turnovers.

In the end I think Mahomes is too much for the Titans pass defense and the Chiefs defense does enough to slow down the running game of the Titans.

Prediction:  31-24 Chiefs win.